Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, Bayreuth
The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Wacker Burghausen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Bayreuth (1,832) and Wacker Burghausen (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayreuth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Wacker Burghausen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bayern München II(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bayreuth win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Wacker Burghausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen 1-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Bayreuth 0-2 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 2, 2025 | Wacker Burghausen 3-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Bayreuth 1-0 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Wacker Burghausen 1-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Bayreuth 1-1 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Wacker Burghausen vs Bayreuth on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wacker Burghausen score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Wacker Burghausen | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayreuth sit 10th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 5 matches) and Wacker Burghausen sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wacker Burghausen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen?
- The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Wacker Burghausen.
- Where and when is Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen played?
- Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.