Aucas vs Independiente del Valle: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
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What was the result of Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?
Independiente del Valle won 1-2 on March 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′B. MontenegroAucas
- 29′L. ZárateIndependiente del Valle
- 45′M. HoyosIndependiente del Valle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | El Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Macara(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Cuniburo(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Macara(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Barcelona SC(away) | 4-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 23, 2025 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Libertad(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aucas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Independiente del Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Aucas 0-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Aucas 2-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 2-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 3-0 Aucas | Supercopa de Ecuador |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Aucas 5-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Aucas vs Independiente del Valle on Sep 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 2nd in Liga Pro (44 points from 26 matches) and Independiente del Valle sit 1st (67 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy