Match

Macara vs Universidad Catolica: prediction and stats

Liga ProChampionship Group - 6Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, Ambato

MacaraUniversidad Catolica

The Footlab AI model makes Macara the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Universidad Catolica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Macara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Macara (1,898) and Universidad Catolica (1,846).

47%27%26%
Macara winDrawUniversidad Catolica win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Macara vs Universidad Catolica

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Macara

4-2-3-1
  1. 9F. Posse
  1. 16J. Cazares
  2. 28A. Campana
  3. 20M. Viera
  4. 15M. Tello
  5. 5J. Estacio
  1. 14J. Marrufo
  2. 25J. Bolaños
  3. 27J. Mohor
  4. 4J. Jiménez
  1. 1R. Rodriguez

Universidad Catolica

4-2-3-1
  1. 7J. Fajardo
  1. 9A. Londoño
  2. 8D. Clavijo
  3. 30E. Mejía
  4. 5J. Cacciabue
  5. 32M. Alonso
  1. 33L. Cangá
  2. 29G. Anangonó
  3. 3J. García
  4. 24D. Nazareno
  1. 1Lucas Cueva Gordillo

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macara have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Universidad Catolica have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Macara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Barcelona SC(home)3-0Liga Pro
Oct 24, 2026LDU de Quito(away)2-1Liga Pro
Oct 17, 2026Independiente del Valle(home)1-0Liga Pro
Oct 11, 2026Universidad Catolica(away)1-0Liga Pro
Sep 19, 2026Aucas(away)2-1Liga Pro
Universidad Catolica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026LDU de Quito(away)2-1Copa Ecuador
Nov 1, 2026Aucas(home)1-2Liga Pro
Oct 30, 2026LDU de Quito(home)2-2Copa Ecuador
Oct 23, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)0-0Liga Pro
Oct 18, 2026Barcelona SC(away)1-1Liga Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Macara win, 1 draw, 4 Universidad Catolica wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Universidad Catolica 0-1 MacaraLiga Pro
Aug 18, 2026Macara 1-1 Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro
Apr 24, 2026Universidad Catolica 4-0 MacaraLiga Pro
Jul 27, 2025Macara 1-4 Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro
Apr 6, 2025Universidad Catolica 1-0 MacaraLiga Pro
Nov 30, 2024Macara 1-2 Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro

Last archived meeting: Universidad Catolica vs Macara on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Macara score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad Catolica score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Macara1.51.059/159/15
Universidad Catolica1.41.1311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Macara sit 2nd in Liga Pro (66 points from 35 matches) and Universidad Catolica sit 4th (53 points from 35 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Macara352069503566
4Universidad Catolica35141110543353

A question about Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
The Footlab AI model makes Macara the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Universidad Catolica.
Where and when is Macara vs Universidad Catolica played?
Macara vs Universidad Catolica is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, in the Liga Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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