Independiente del Valle vs Aucas: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProChampionship Group - 2Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Independiente del Valle won 2-1 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 33′P. GuzmánAucas
- 56′H. QuintanaIndependiente del Valle
- 74′?Independiente del Valle
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Independiente del Valle win at 66%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1- 9C. González
- 31Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
- 10J. Sornoza
- 28H. Quintana
- 11M. Perelló
- 6J. Alcívar
- 19L. Loor
- 5R. Schunke
- 14M. Carabajal
- 13Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
- 1A. Quintana
Aucas
5-4-1- 29Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza
- 10A. Preciado
- 18Andrés David Mena Montenegro
- 6A. Spina
- 21P. Guzmán
- 31B. Carabalí
- 2S. Morales
- 14S. Tapiero
- 37A. Zova
- 28R. Quiñónez
- 13Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Aucas have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Gualaceo SC(away) | 2-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Libertad(away) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Flamengo(home) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Macara(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Macara(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Libertad(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Independiente del Valle wins, 2 draws, 0 Aucas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Aucas 0-3 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Independiente del Valle 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Aucas 1-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Aucas 0-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Aucas vs Independiente del Valle on Jul 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aucas | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente del Valle sit 1st in Liga Pro (77 points from 31 matches) and Aucas sit 5th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 77 |
| 5 | Aucas | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 50 |
A question about Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy