Auchinleck Talbot vs Renfrew: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Beechwood Park, Auchinleck
The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Renfrew. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auchinleck Talbot vs Renfrew?
Auchinleck Talbot starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,738 vs 1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auchinleck Talbot have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Renfrew have 0, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Beith(home) | 7-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 9-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 3-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Auchinleck Talbot score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Renfrew score 1.5 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auchinleck Talbot | 3.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Renfrew | 1.5 | 3.3 | 0 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auchinleck Talbot sit 1st in Football League - Lowland League (15 points from 6 matches) and Renfrew sit 30th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auchinleck Talbot | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 15 |
| 30 | Renfrew | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auchinleck Talbot vs Renfrew?
- The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Renfrew.
- Where and when is Auchinleck Talbot vs Renfrew played?
- Auchinleck Talbot vs Renfrew is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Beechwood Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers