Match

Auckland vs South Melbourne: prediction and stats

OFC Pro LeagueGroup stage · Matchday 3Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland

AucklandSouth Melbourne

The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for South Melbourne. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,082 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Auckland vs South Melbourne?

On Elo ratings, Auckland has 1,857 points and South Melbourne 1,885.

67%19%14%
Auckland winDrawSouth Melbourne win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Auckland vs South Melbourne

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Auckland

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Cosgrove
  1. 27L. Rogerson
  2. 10L. Bayliss
  3. 8F. Gallegos
  4. 77L. Brook
  5. 22J. Brimmer
  1. 2H. Sakai
  2. 4N. Pijnaker
  3. 15F. de Vries
  4. 23R. Wynne
  1. 1M. Woud

South Melbourne

4-3-3
  1. 7D. Yoo
  2. 16A. Cocks
  3. 11Yuki Uchida
  1. 21S. Pasquali
  2. 27J. Painter-Andrews
  3. 8P. Retre
  1. 4Marco Jankovic
  2. 17T. Giannakopoulos
  3. 23J. Eliopoulos
  4. 3Jordan Lampard
  1. 1Javier López

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; South Melbourne have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Auckland
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Wellington Phoenix(home)0-0A-League
Oct 30, 2026Brisbane Roar(away)1-1A-League
Oct 24, 2026Western Sydney Wanderers(away)2-5A-League
Oct 17, 2026Melbourne City(home)3-1A-League
Sep 19, 2026Western Sydney Wanderers(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
South Melbourne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Sydney United(away)0-1Australian Championship
Nov 7, 2026Sutherland Sharks(home)0-0Australian Championship
Oct 29, 2026Canberra FC(away)2-0Australian Championship
Oct 23, 2026Sydney United(home)1-1Australian Championship
Oct 17, 2026Sutherland Sharks(away)1-0Australian Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Auckland win, 0 draws, 0 South Melbourne wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 13, 2025South Melbourne 0-3 AucklandAustralia Cup

Last archived meeting: South Melbourne vs Auckland on Aug 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Auckland score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; South Melbourne score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Auckland1.21.439/156/15
South Melbourne1.50.958/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.

Final 2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2South Melbourne14743401825

A question about Auckland vs South Melbourne?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Auckland vs South Melbourne?
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for South Melbourne.
Where and when is Auckland vs South Melbourne played?
Auckland vs South Melbourne is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the OFC Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Auckland and South Melbourne