Auckland vs Newcastle Jets: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Newcastle Jets. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auckland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Auckland (1,889) and Newcastle Jets (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auckland vs Newcastle Jets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auckland
4-2-3-1- 9S. Cosgrove
- 27L. Rogerson
- 77L. Brook
- 10L. Bayliss
- 22J. Brimmer
- 8F. Gallegos
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 25L. Vicelich
- 1M. Woud
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 8P. Wood
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 11J. Lolley
- 27J. Recchia
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Newcastle Jets have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Auckland wins, 1 draw, 2 Newcastle Jets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 1-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Auckland 1-3 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Auckland 1-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Auckland 2-0 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Auckland on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Auckland score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle Jets score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Newcastle Jets | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auckland sit 1st in A-League (3 points from 1 match) and Newcastle Jets sit 5th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Newcastle Jets.
- Where and when is Auckland vs Newcastle Jets played?
- Auckland vs Newcastle Jets is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.