Match

Auda vs Riga: prediction and stats

CupFinalKick-off on November 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga

AudaRiga

The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 77%, against 12% for a draw and 11% for Auda. The most likely score is 1-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Auda vs Riga?

Riga starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,014 vs 1,803).

11%12%77%
Auda winDrawRiga win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Auda vs Riga

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Auda

4-1-4-1
  1. 17E. Dašķevičs
  1. 14H. Ibrahim
  2. 10W. Fofana
  3. 20Youba Traore
  4. 8E. Bongemba
  5. 23M. Fofana
  1. 2T. Hrvoj
  2. 6R. Kragliks
  3. 22O. Ogunji
  4. 3D. Balodis
  1. 98N. Puriņš

Riga

4-2-3-1
  1. 10Reginaldo Ramires
  1. 40A. Ankrah
  2. 8Iago Siqueira Augusto
  3. 7R. Aouani
  4. 22M. Diop
  5. 18S. Oulad M'Hand
  1. 23M. Toņiševs
  2. 5K. Wassom
  3. 21B. Musah
  4. 13R. Jurkovskis
  1. 12K. Pirić

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:07 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auda have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Riga have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Auda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Tukums(away)2-1Virsliga
Nov 1, 2026FS Jelgava(home)4-3Virsliga
Oct 25, 2026Ogre United(away)4-1Virsliga
Oct 19, 2026BFC Daugavpils(away)1-2Virsliga
Oct 12, 2026FK Liepaja(away)3-2Virsliga
Riga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026FK Jablonec(home)1-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Nov 1, 2026Ogre United(away)0-0Virsliga
Oct 26, 2026Grobiņa(away)5-2Virsliga
Oct 22, 2026Pafos(away)1-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026Super Nova(home)2-1Virsliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Auda win, 1 draw, 4 Riga wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 11, 2026Riga 2-2 AudaVirsliga
Jun 29, 2026Auda 0-2 RigaVirsliga
May 12, 2026Riga 4-1 AudaVirsliga
Mar 20, 2026Auda 1-2 RigaVirsliga
Feb 17, 2026Riga 4-1 AudaSuper Cup
Oct 29, 2025Riga 1-2 AudaCup

Last archived meeting: Riga vs Auda on Sep 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Auda score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Riga score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Auda1.91.4410/1510/15
Riga1.71.1411/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Auda vs Riga?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Auda vs Riga?
The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 77%, against 12% for a draw and 11% for Auda.
Where and when is Auda vs Riga played?
Auda vs Riga is played on November 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Mežaparks Sports Village, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Next match: Auda and Riga