Audace Cerignola vs Catania: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Audace Cerignola. The most likely score is 1-1. If Catania wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Catania?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Audace Cerignola (1,760) and Catania (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Audace Cerignola vs Catania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Audace Cerignola
4-3-3- 7A. Vinciguerra
- 10L. D'Orazio
- 9D. Gambale
- 58C. Cretella
- 4G. Vitale
- 68M. Sellaf
- 23A. Gasbarro
- 55M. Cocorocchio
- 27A. Boccadamo
- 37A. Silvestro
- 22A. Viola
Catania
4-3-3- 10E. Cicerelli
- 7G. Bruzzaniti
- 9M. Coda
- 16A. Quaini
- 4A. Vallocchia
- 18N. Cavuoti
- 15M. Di Gennaro
- 32E. Masciangelo
- 68M. Ierardi
- 5M. Perrotta
- 57A. Dini
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Audace Cerignola have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Catania have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Audace Cerignola wins, 3 draws, 1 Catania win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Catania 0-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 0-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 2-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Catania 0-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Catania 2-1 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Audace Cerignola 1-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Catania vs Audace Cerignola on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Audace Cerignola score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Catania score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audace Cerignola | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Catania | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Audace Cerignola sit 6th in Serie C - Girone C (14 points from 9 matches) and Catania sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Catania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Audace Cerignola | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Audace Cerignola vs Catania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Audace Cerignola vs Catania?
- The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Audace Cerignola.
- Where and when is Audace Cerignola vs Catania played?
- Audace Cerignola vs Catania is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.