Cavese vs AZ Picerno: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
The Footlab model makes Cavese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for AZ Picerno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavese vs AZ Picerno?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Cavese (1,767) and AZ Picerno (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; AZ Picerno have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cavese win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 AZ Picerno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Cavese 2-0 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 31, 2025 | AZ Picerno 2-2 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Cavese 1-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 5, 2024 | AZ Picerno 1-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 22, 2020 | AZ Picerno 3-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Cavese 1-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Cavese score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Picerno score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavese | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| AZ Picerno | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and AZ Picerno sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AZ Picerno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavese vs AZ Picerno?
- The Footlab model makes Cavese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for AZ Picerno.
- Where and when is Cavese vs AZ Picerno played?
- Cavese vs AZ Picerno is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.