Aumund-Vegesack vs Blumenthaler SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vegesack, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 72%, against 14% for a draw and 13% for Aumund-Vegesack. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aumund-Vegesack vs Blumenthaler SV?
Blumenthaler SV starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aumund-Vegesack have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Blumenthaler SV have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Schwachhausen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aumund-Vegesack win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Blumenthaler SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack 0-3 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Blumenthaler SV 3-2 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Aumund-Vegesack 1-1 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Blumenthaler SV 4-3 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Aumund-Vegesack 2-2 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Blumenthaler SV 5-2 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Aumund-Vegesack vs Blumenthaler SV on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Blumenthaler SV score 3.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Blumenthaler SV | 3.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Blumenthaler SV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenthaler SV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aumund-Vegesack vs Blumenthaler SV?
- The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 72%, against 14% for a draw and 13% for Aumund-Vegesack.
- Where and when is Aumund-Vegesack vs Blumenthaler SV played?
- Aumund-Vegesack vs Blumenthaler SV is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vegesack, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.