BTS Neustadt vs Aumund-Vegesack: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SPA Erlenstraße, Platz 1, Bremen
The Footlab model makes BTS Neustadt the favourite at 49%, against 18% for a draw and 33% for Aumund-Vegesack. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BTS Neustadt vs Aumund-Vegesack?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate BTS Neustadt (1,719) and Aumund-Vegesack (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BTS Neustadt have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Aumund-Vegesack have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 4-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(home) | 9-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 BTS Neustadt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aumund-Vegesack win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack 5-4 BTS Neustadt | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack 1-2 BTS Neustadt | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 27, 2025 | BTS Neustadt 5-2 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Aumund-Vegesack 3-3 BTS Neustadt | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 21, 2024 | BTS Neustadt 2-1 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Aumund-Vegesack 3-7 BTS Neustadt | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BTS Neustadt score 3.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTS Neustadt | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 15/15 |
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BTS Neustadt sit 15th in Oberliga - Bremen (0 points from 3 matches) and Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | BTS Neustadt | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BTS Neustadt vs Aumund-Vegesack?
- The Footlab model makes BTS Neustadt the favourite at 49%, against 18% for a draw and 33% for Aumund-Vegesack.
- Where and when is BTS Neustadt vs Aumund-Vegesack played?
- BTS Neustadt vs Aumund-Vegesack is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SPA Erlenstraße, Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.