Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 14, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Parmer Field at St. David’s Performance Center, Austin, Texas
The Footlab model makes Austin II the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Colorado Rapids II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
Austin II starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin II have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Colorado Rapids II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | The Town(home) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | North Texas(away) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(home) | 4-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sporting KC II(home) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 3, 2026 | The Town(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Real Monarchs(home) | 4-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting KC II(away) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | St. Louis City II(home) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Los Angeles FC II(away) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Austin II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colorado Rapids II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | Austin II 3-2 Colorado Rapids II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 14, 2026 | Colorado Rapids II 0-2 Austin II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Colorado Rapids II 4-1 Austin II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Colorado Rapids II 1-0 Austin II | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Austin II 4-2 Colorado Rapids II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Austin II 4-3 Colorado Rapids II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II on Jul 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austin II score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids II score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin II | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Colorado Rapids II | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austin II sit 1st in MLS Next Pro (56 points from 24 matches) and Colorado Rapids II sit 14th (18 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin II | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 1 | Austin II | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 1 | Austin II | 22 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 47 | 19 | 52 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids II | 24 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 45 | 18 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 24 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 45 | 18 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 20 | 44 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
- The Footlab model makes Austin II the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Colorado Rapids II.
- Where and when is Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II played?
- Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II is played on September 14, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Parmer Field at St. David’s Performance Center, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC