Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Max-Aicher-Stadion, Salzburg
The Footlab model makes Austria Salzburg the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II?
Austria Salzburg starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Salzburg have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(home) | 3-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 4-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | WSPG Wels(away) | 2-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Austria Salzburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sturm Graz II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Sturm Graz II 0-2 Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Austria Salzburg 1-2 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz II vs Austria Salzburg on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Salzburg score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Salzburg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Salzburg sit 2nd in 2. Liga (9 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Austria Salzburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes Austria Salzburg the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II played?
- Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II is played on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Max-Aicher-Stadion, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.