Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)DATENPOL ARENA, Maria Enzersdorf
The Footlab model makes Admira Wacker the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg?
Admira Wacker starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Admira Wacker have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SV Kapfenberg have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(away) | 2-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SKU Amstetten(away) | 1-2 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rapid Wien II(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Leithaprodersdorf(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Admira Wacker win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SV Kapfenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Admira Wacker 6-1 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2025 | SV Kapfenberg 0-2 Admira Wacker | 2. Liga |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Admira Wacker 2-0 SV Kapfenberg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 6, 2024 | SV Kapfenberg 3-4 Admira Wacker | 2. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Admira Wacker 0-1 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Admira Wacker 1-0 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Admira Wacker score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admira Wacker | 0.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Admira Wacker sit 13th in 2. Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and SV Kapfenberg sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Admira Wacker | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Admira Wacker the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg played?
- Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg is played on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at DATENPOL ARENA, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.