Austria vs Estonia: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 2Kick-off on March 27, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
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What was the result of Austria vs Estonia?
Austria won 2-1 on March 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 25′R. SappinenEstonia
- 68′F. KainzAustria
- 88′M. GregoritschAustria
Official lineup for Austria vs Estonia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Austria
4-3-2-1- 11M. Gregoritsch
- 21P. Wimmer
- 19C. Baumgartner
- 14D. Ljubičić
- 6N. Seiwald
- 20K. Laimer
- 16P. Mwene
- 3K. Danso
- 15F. Daniliuc
- 5S. Posch
- 1H. Lindner
Estonia
3-5-1-1- 15R. Sappinen
- 10S. Zenjov
- 3A. Pikk
- 17M. Miller
- 4M. Käit
- 14K. Vassiljev
- 8V. Sinyavskiy
- 18K. Mets
- 16J. Tamm
- 13M. Paskotši
- 12K. Hein
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Estonia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | Azerbaijan(home) | 4-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Italy(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Andorra(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Croatia(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 22, 2022 | France(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | Hungary(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 12, 2023 | Finland(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Iceland(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Lithuania(home) | 2-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Latvia(away) | 1-1 | Baltic Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Austria score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Estonia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria sit 2nd in Euro Championship - Qualification (19 points from 8 matches) and Estonia sit 5th (1 point from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
A question about Austria vs Estonia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy