Austria vs Northern Ireland: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Full time
What was the result of Austria vs Northern Ireland?
Austria won 1-0 on October 12, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 71′M. ArnautovićAustria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Northern Ireland have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Sweden(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2018 | Brazil(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Germany(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2018 | Russia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Israel(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 3, 2018 | Costa Rica(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2018 | Panama(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2018 | South Korea(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Austria score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Northern Ireland score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Northern Ireland | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy