Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League5Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
The Footlab model makes Austria the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Rep. Of Ireland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland?
Austria starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,688 vs 1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Rep. Of Ireland have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Algeria(away) | 3-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Jordan(home) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Tunisia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | South Korea(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Canada(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2026 | Qatar(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 16, 2026 | Grenada(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Czechia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Austria win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rep. Of Ireland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2017 | Rep. Of Ireland 1-1 Austria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Austria 0-1 Rep. Of Ireland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria on Jun 11, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Austria score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rep. Of Ireland score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Rep. Of Ireland | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland?
- The Footlab model makes Austria the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Rep. Of Ireland.
- Where and when is Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland played?
- Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Happel-Stadion, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.