Auto Esporte vs Picuiense: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Leonardo Vinagre da Silveira, João Pessoa, Paraíba
The Footlab model makes Auto Esporte the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Picuiense. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auto Esporte vs Picuiense?
Auto Esporte starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auto Esporte have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Picuiense have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Serra Branca(away) | 1-5 | Paraibano |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Nacional de Patos(away) | 1-3 | Paraibano |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Pombal EC(away) | 1-1 | Paraibano |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Picuiense(away) | 2-1 | Paraibano |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EC de Patos(home) | 2-3 | Paraibano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | EC de Patos(home) | 0-5 | Paraibano |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Botafogo PB(away) | 0-3 | Paraibano |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Treze(home) | 2-6 | Paraibano |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Auto Esporte(home) | 1-2 | Paraibano |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Serra Branca(away) | 0-8 | Paraibano |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Auto Esporte win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Picuiense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Picuiense 1-2 Auto Esporte | Paraibano |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Auto Esporte 3-0 Picuiense | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Picuiense 0-1 Auto Esporte | Paraibano 2 |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Picuiense 0-4 Auto Esporte | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Picuiense vs Auto Esporte on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Auto Esporte score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Picuiense score 0.6 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auto Esporte | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Picuiense | 0.6 | 2.9 | 1 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auto Esporte vs Picuiense?
- The Footlab model makes Auto Esporte the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Picuiense.
- Where and when is Auto Esporte vs Picuiense played?
- Auto Esporte vs Picuiense is played on September 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Leonardo Vinagre da Silveira, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.