Avai vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil3rd RoundKick-off on March 16, 2018 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Avai vs Fluminense?
Avai won 1-0 on March 16, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 78′LourençoAvai
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avai have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | Fluminense(away) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 22, 2018 | Juventude(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 7, 2018 | Ceilândia(away) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | Avai(home) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 15, 2018 | Salgueiro(home) | 5-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jan 31, 2018 | Caldense(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avai win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | Fluminense 1-2 Avai | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Fluminense 1-0 Avai | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2017 | Avai 0-3 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Fluminense 3-1 Avai | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Avai 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Fluminense 3-1 Avai | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Avai score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy