Avai vs Gremio: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 25, 2011 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Avai vs Gremio?
Gremio won 1-2 on September 25, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 42′M. FernandesGremio
- 46′Douglas dos SantosGremio
- 70′Pedro Ken Morimoto MoreiraAvai
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avai have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gremio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2011 | Fluminense(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2011 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2011 | Santos(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2011 | Botafogo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2011 | Bahia(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Avai win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2011 | Gremio 2-2 Avai | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2010 | Avai 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 26, 2010 | Gremio 3-0 Avai | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Avai score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy