Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 24, 2011 at 09:05 PM (UTC)Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense?
Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense drew 1-1 on September 24, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 62′Paulo César BaierAtletico Paranaense
- 90′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Paranaense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2011 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Flamengo(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2011 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2011 | Avai(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Bahia(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2011 | Cruzeiro(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Atletico Paranaense win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2011 | Fluminense 3-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2010 | Atletico Paranaense 2-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jul 31, 2010 | Fluminense 3-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense on Jul 1, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Paranaense score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd in Serie A (41 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy