Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 5Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Igueldea, Arre
The Footlab model makes Avance Ezcabarte the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Cantolagua. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua?
Avance Ezcabarte starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avance Ezcabarte have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cantolagua have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Pamplona(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 1, 2025 | Cirbonero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cortes(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Valle Egüés(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Txantrea(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Avance Ezcabarte win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cantolagua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Avance Ezcabarte 2-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Cantolagua 3-2 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Cantolagua 0-2 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Avance Ezcabarte 4-2 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Avance Ezcabarte 2-1 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Cantolagua 2-3 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cantolagua score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cantolagua | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua?
- The Footlab model makes Avance Ezcabarte the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Cantolagua.
- Where and when is Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua played?
- Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Igueldea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.