Cirbonero vs Mutilvera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Juan, Cintruénigo
The Footlab model makes Cirbonero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Mutilvera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cirbonero vs Mutilvera?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Cirbonero (1,760) and Mutilvera (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cirbonero have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mutilvera have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oberena(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cirbonero win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mutilvera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Cirbonero 3-0 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Mutilvera 2-1 Cirbonero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Cirbonero 1-0 Mutilvera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Mutilvera 0-1 Cirbonero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Mutilvera 1-3 Cirbonero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Cirbonero 1-2 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Cirbonero vs Mutilvera on Apr 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cirbonero score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mutilvera score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cirbonero | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mutilvera | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cirbonero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 42 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cirbonero vs Mutilvera?
- The Footlab model makes Cirbonero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Mutilvera.
- Where and when is Cirbonero vs Mutilvera played?
- Cirbonero vs Mutilvera is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Juan, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.