Bidezarra vs Beti Onak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 5Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Bidezarra de Noain, Noain
The Footlab model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Beti Onak. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Beti Onak?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Bidezarra (1,738) and Beti Onak (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bidezarra have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Beti Onak have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Oberena(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Txantrea(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ardoi(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bidezarra win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Beti Onak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Bidezarra 1-0 Beti Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Beti Onak 2-3 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Bidezarra 2-0 Beti Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Beti Onak 1-2 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Bidezarra 1-1 Beti Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Beti Onak 0-2 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Bidezarra vs Beti Onak on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bidezarra score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Beti Onak score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bidezarra | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Beti Onak | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bidezarra sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (39 points from 34 matches) and Beti Onak sit 16th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bidezarra | 34 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 40 | 39 |
| 16 | Beti Onak | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bidezarra vs Beti Onak?
- The Footlab model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Beti Onak.
- Where and when is Bidezarra vs Beti Onak played?
- Bidezarra vs Beti Onak is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.