Avance Ezcabarte vs Izarra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 · Matchday 34Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Igueldea, Arre
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Avance Ezcabarte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Izarra wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avance Ezcabarte vs Izarra?
Izarra starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,714).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avance Ezcabarte vs Izarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avance Ezcabarte
Not enough data to predict the Avance Ezcabarte lineup.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avance Ezcabarte have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Izarra have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Txantrea(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Avance Ezcabarte wins, 2 draws, 0 Izarra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Izarra 1-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Avance Ezcabarte 1-1 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Izarra vs Avance Ezcabarte on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Izarra score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Izarra | 2.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (14 points from 10 matches) and Izarra sit 1st (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Avance Ezcabarte vs Izarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avance Ezcabarte vs Izarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Avance Ezcabarte.
- Where and when is Avance Ezcabarte vs Izarra played?
- Avance Ezcabarte vs Izarra is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Igueldea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.