Match

Cirbonero vs Cortes: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Juan, Cintruénigo

CirboneroCortes

The Footlab model makes Cirbonero the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Cortes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cirbonero vs Cortes?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Cirbonero (1,759) and Cortes (1,743).

Cirbonero win54 %
Draw25 %
Cortes win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cirbonero have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cortes have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cirbonero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Valle Egüés(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 3, 2026Huarte(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 26, 2026Cortes(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 19, 2026Oberena(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 12, 2026Izarra(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Cortes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Txantrea(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 3, 2026Pamplona(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 26, 2026Cirbonero(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 18, 2026Atlético Artajonés(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 12, 2026Subiza(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cirbonero win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Cortes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Cirbonero 2-2 CortesTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Dec 20, 2025Cortes 1-0 CirboneroTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Feb 16, 2025Cirbonero 0-2 CortesTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Oct 5, 2024Cortes 1-2 CirboneroTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Mar 28, 2024Cirbonero 0-0 CortesTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Nov 11, 2023Cortes 2-1 CirboneroTercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last archived meeting: Cirbonero vs Cortes on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cirbonero score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cortes score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cirbonero1.21.176/156/15
Cortes1.11.9211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cirbonero sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (43 points from 34 matches) and Cortes sit 8th (44 points from 33 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Cortes3313515354844
10Cirbonero34111013384243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cirbonero vs Cortes?
The Footlab model makes Cirbonero the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Cortes.
Where and when is Cirbonero vs Cortes played?
Cirbonero vs Cortes is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Juan, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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