Valle Egüés vs Txantrea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 34Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Txantrea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Txantrea?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Valle Egüés (1,780) and Txantrea (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Txantrea have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Oberena(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Valle Egüés win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Txantrea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Txantrea 2-2 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Valle Egüés 2-3 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Valle Egüés 4-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Txantrea 1-3 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Txantrea 1-2 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Valle Egüés 1-0 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Txantrea vs Valle Egüés on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Txantrea score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Txantrea | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (42 points from 34 matches) and Txantrea sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Valle Egüés | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 57 | 42 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 67 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs Txantrea?
- The Footlab model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Txantrea.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs Txantrea played?
- Valle Egüés vs Txantrea is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.