Valle Egüés vs Txantrea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 34Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab AI model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Txantrea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valle Egüés wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Txantrea?
On Elo ratings, Valle Egüés has 1,763 points and Txantrea 1,715.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valle Egüés vs Txantrea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valle Egüés
Not enough data to predict the Valle Egüés lineup.
Txantrea
Not enough data to predict the Txantrea lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Txantrea have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cantolagua(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mutilvera(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Valle Egüés wins, 1 draw, 1 Txantrea win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Txantrea 2-2 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Valle Egüés 2-3 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Valle Egüés 4-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Txantrea 1-3 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Txantrea 1-2 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Valle Egüés 1-0 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Txantrea vs Valle Egüés on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Txantrea score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Txantrea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (6 points from 6 matches) and Txantrea sit 11th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Valle Egüés | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Valle Egüés vs Txantrea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs Txantrea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Txantrea.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs Txantrea played?
- Valle Egüés vs Txantrea is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.