Where and when is Aveley vs Leatherhead played?

Aveley vs Leatherhead is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aveley vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex

Aveley

Leatherhead

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Leatherhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aveley vs Leatherhead?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Aveley (1,884) and Leatherhead (1,865).

Aveley win43 %

Draw24 %

Leatherhead win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aveley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Three Bridges(away)	5-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Whitehawk(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Maldon & Tiptree(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Southend(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

Leatherhead
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maldon & Tiptree(home)	1-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Burgess Hill Town(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Welling United(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Ramsgate(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026	Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aveley	2.4	1.7	3	10/15	11/15
Leatherhead	1.9	1.2	4	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aveley	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
8	Leatherhead	4	2	1	1	9	8	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Leatherhead?: The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Leatherhead.
Where and when is Aveley vs Leatherhead played?: Aveley vs Leatherhead is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.