Cray Wanderers vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Leatherhead?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Cray Wanderers (1,826) and Leatherhead (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Cray Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leatherhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | Leatherhead 2-1 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Cray Wanderers 0-0 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Cray Wanderers 0-1 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Leatherhead vs Cray Wanderers on Apr 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Leatherhead?
- The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Cray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Leatherhead played?
- Cray Wanderers vs Leatherhead is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026DartfordvsEastbourne Borough
- Nov 7, 2026St Albans CityvsWelling United
- Nov 7, 2026RamsgatevsAveley
- Nov 7, 2026Three BridgesvsBrentwood Town
- Nov 7, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsCheshunt
- Nov 7, 2026Enfield TownvsWhyteleafe
- Nov 7, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Nov 7, 2026Dulwich HamletvsLewes