Match

Carshalton Athletic vs Dartford: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Sports Ground, Carshalton, Surrey

Carshalton AthleticDartford

The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carshalton Athletic vs Dartford?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Carshalton Athletic (1,793) and Dartford (1,879).

Carshalton Athletic win27 %
Draw24 %
Dartford win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carshalton Athletic have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carshalton Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stanway Rovers(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Dover(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Dartford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Welling United(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Brentwood Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Three Bridges(away)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Ashford United(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dartford win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Carshalton Athletic 2-2 DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 23, 2025Dartford 4-1 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 26, 2025Dartford 1-4 Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 24, 2024Carshalton Athletic 0-1 DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 20, 2021Carshalton Athletic 1-3 DartfordFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Dartford on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Carshalton Athletic1.81.2510/159/15
Dartford1.91.258/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carshalton Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (12 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Carshalton Athletic44008212
5Dartford4301669

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carshalton Athletic vs Dartford?
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Carshalton Athletic.
Where and when is Carshalton Athletic vs Dartford played?
Carshalton Athletic vs Dartford is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Sports Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Carshalton Athletic and Dartford

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