Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Świdnik, Świdnik
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avia Świdnik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(away) | 0-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avia Świdnik win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Podhale Nowy Targ 2-2 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Avia Świdnik 0-1 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Avia Świdnik 0-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Podhale Nowy Targ 1-6 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Avia Świdnik 1-1 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Podhale Nowy Targ 0-1 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Świdnik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avia Świdnik sit 5th in II Liga - East (9 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avia Świdnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
- The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
- Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Świdnik, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsLegia Warszawa II
- May 22, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsStal Stalowa Wola
- May 22, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsGórnik Łęczna
- May 22, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsTychy 71
- May 22, 2027Świt SkolwinvsResovia Rzeszów
- May 22, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- May 22, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsŚląsk Wrocław II
- May 22, 2027Sokół KleczewvsZnicz Pruszków