Match

Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Świdnik, Świdnik

Avia ŚwidnikPodhale Nowy Targ

The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,853).

Avia Świdnik win54 %
Draw23 %
Podhale Nowy Targ win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avia Świdnik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avia Świdnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home)1-4II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola(away)0-4II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home)3-0II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)1-0II Liga - East
Jul 26, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)4-1II Liga - East
Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avia Świdnik win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Podhale Nowy Targ 2-2 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4
Sep 7, 2024Avia Świdnik 0-1 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 30, 2024Avia Świdnik 0-0 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4
Sep 2, 2023Podhale Nowy Targ 1-6 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 11, 2023Avia Świdnik 1-1 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 13, 2022Podhale Nowy Targ 0-1 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avia Świdnik2.11.159/159/15
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avia Świdnik sit 5th in II Liga - East (9 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Avia Świdnik5302999
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
Avia Świdnik vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Świdnik, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Avia Świdnik and Podhale Nowy Targ

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