Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Avia Świdnik have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(away) | 0-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Avia Świdnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Podhale Nowy Targ 2-2 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Avia Świdnik 0-1 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Avia Świdnik 0-0 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Podhale Nowy Targ 1-6 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Avia Świdnik 1-1 Podhale Nowy Targ | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Podhale Nowy Targ 0-1 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Avia Świdnik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Avia Świdnik sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avia Świdnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
- The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
- Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik played?
- Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Nov 14, 2026Tychy 71vsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Nov 14, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsHutnik Kraków
- Nov 14, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Nov 14, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsŚwit Skolwin
- Nov 14, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Nov 14, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsSokół Kleczew
- Nov 14, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsLechia Zielona Góra