Match

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ

Podhale Nowy TargAvia Świdnik

The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Podhale Nowy Targ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?

Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,853).

Podhale Nowy Targ win31 %
Draw25 %
Avia Świdnik win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Avia Świdnik have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East
Avia Świdnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home)1-4II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola(away)0-4II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home)3-0II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)1-0II Liga - East
Jul 26, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)4-1II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Avia Świdnik win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Podhale Nowy Targ 2-2 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4
Sep 7, 2024Avia Świdnik 0-1 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 30, 2024Avia Świdnik 0-0 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4
Sep 2, 2023Podhale Nowy Targ 1-6 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 11, 2023Avia Świdnik 1-1 Podhale Nowy TargIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 13, 2022Podhale Nowy Targ 0-1 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15
Avia Świdnik2.11.159/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Avia Świdnik sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Avia Świdnik5302999
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik played?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Podhale Nowy Targ and Avia Świdnik

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