Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, Grudziądz
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Olimpia Grudziądz starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Grudziądz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Olimpia Grudziądz 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| May 4, 2024 | Olimpia Grudziądz 1-3 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsLegia Warszawa II
- May 22, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsGórnik Łęczna
- May 22, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsTychy 71
- May 22, 2027Świt SkolwinvsResovia Rzeszów
- May 22, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- May 22, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsŚląsk Wrocław II
- May 22, 2027Sokół KleczewvsZnicz Pruszków
- May 22, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsPodhale Nowy Targ