Match

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, Grudziądz

Olimpia GrudziądzStal Stalowa Wola

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Olimpia Grudziądz starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,821).

Olimpia Grudziądz win52 %
Draw23 %
Stal Stalowa Wola win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Grudziądz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Grudziądz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)2-1II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-0II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Tychy 71(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Świt Skolwin(home)5-3Cup
Aug 1, 2026Lechia Zielona Góra(away)2-2II Liga - East
Stal Stalowa Wola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)4-0II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)1-3II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)2-3Cup
Jul 31, 2026Tychy 71(home)1-2II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 23, 2025Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East
Jul 25, 2025Olimpia Grudziądz 1-1 Stal Stalowa WolaII Liga - East
May 4, 2024Olimpia Grudziądz 1-3 Stal Stalowa WolaII Liga - East
Oct 22, 2023Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Nov 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olimpia Grudziądz1.91.5410/1510/15
Stal Stalowa Wola1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Olimpia Grudziądz5221788
12Stal Stalowa Wola5203876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
Where and when is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Olimpia Grudziądz and Stal Stalowa Wola

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