Match

Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Świdnik, Świdnik

Avia ŚwidnikStal Stalowa Wola

The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,821).

Avia Świdnik win57 %
Draw23 %
Stal Stalowa Wola win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avia Świdnik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avia Świdnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home)1-4II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola(away)0-4II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home)3-0II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)1-0II Liga - East
Jul 26, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)4-1II Liga - East
Stal Stalowa Wola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)4-0II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)1-3II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)2-3Cup
Jul 31, 2026Tychy 71(home)1-2II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avia Świdnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola 4-0 Avia ŚwidnikII Liga - East
Feb 10, 2024Stal Stalowa Wola 5-1 Avia ŚwidnikFriendlies Clubs
Apr 22, 2023Avia Świdnik 0-2 Stal Stalowa WolaIII Liga - Group 4
Sep 17, 2022Stal Stalowa Wola 0-2 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4
Nov 20, 2021Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Avia ŚwidnikIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2021Avia Świdnik 0-1 Stal Stalowa WolaIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Świdnik on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avia Świdnik2.11.159/159/15
Stal Stalowa Wola1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avia Świdnik sit 5th in II Liga - East (9 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Avia Świdnik5302999
12Stal Stalowa Wola5203876

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
Where and when is Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Świdnik, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Avia Świdnik and Stal Stalowa Wola

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