Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Świdnik, Świdnik
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avia Świdnik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(away) | 0-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avia Świdnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola 4-0 Avia Świdnik | II Liga - East |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Stal Stalowa Wola 5-1 Avia Świdnik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Avia Świdnik 0-2 Stal Stalowa Wola | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-2 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Avia Świdnik | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Avia Świdnik 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Avia Świdnik on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Świdnik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avia Świdnik sit 5th in II Liga - East (9 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avia Świdnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Avia Świdnik vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Świdnik, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Chojniczanka ChojnicevsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Feb 27, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsŚwit Skolwin
- Feb 27, 2027Tychy 71vsResovia Rzeszów
- Feb 27, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsHutnik Kraków
- Feb 27, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsSokół Kleczew
- Feb 27, 2027Znicz PruszkówvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Feb 27, 2027Podhale Nowy TargvsGórnik Łęczna
- Feb 27, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsZawisza Bydgoszcz