Match

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ

Podhale Nowy TargGórnik Łęczna

The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853) and Górnik Łęczna (1,777).

Podhale Nowy Targ win50 %
Draw24 %
Górnik Łęczna win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Górnik Łęczna have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East
Górnik Łęczna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ(home)5-2II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Kalisz(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)0-1II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Górnik Łęczna win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna 5-2 Podhale Nowy TargII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Podhale Nowy Targ on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15
Górnik Łęczna1.31.918/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Łęczna sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Górnik Łęczna5212987
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna?
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Górnik Łęczna.
Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna played?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Podhale Nowy Targ and Górnik Łęczna

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