Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Nowy Targ
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Podhale Nowy Targ (1,853) and Górnik Łęczna (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podhale Nowy Targ have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Górnik Łęczna have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Górnik Łęczna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna 5-2 Podhale Nowy Targ | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Podhale Nowy Targ on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th in II Liga - East (5 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Łęczna sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna?
- The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna played?
- Podhale Nowy Targ vs Górnik Łęczna is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Chojniczanka ChojnicevsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Feb 27, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsŚwit Skolwin
- Feb 27, 2027Tychy 71vsResovia Rzeszów
- Feb 27, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsHutnik Kraków
- Feb 27, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsSokół Kleczew
- Feb 27, 2027Znicz PruszkówvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Feb 27, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Feb 27, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsStal Stalowa Wola