Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, Stalowa Wola
The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chojniczanka Chojnice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Stal Stalowa Wola (1,819) and Chojniczanka Chojnice (1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Stalowa Wola have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chojniczanka Chojnice have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chojniczanka Chojnice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-3 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
| May 29, 2024 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Stal Stalowa Wola 5-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chojniczanka Chojnice score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Chojniczanka Chojnice sit 14th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chojniczanka Chojnice.
- Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice played?
- Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Mar 6, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Mar 6, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Mar 6, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Mar 6, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsTychy 71
- Mar 6, 2027Świt SkolwinvsZnicz Pruszków
- Mar 6, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsAvia Świdnik
- Mar 6, 2027Sokół KleczewvsLegia Warszawa II