Avondale vs South Melbourne: result 4-0 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 4Kick-off on March 9, 2019 at 04:15 AM (UTC)Avondale Park, Carrigaline
Full time
What was the result of Avondale vs South Melbourne?
Avondale won 4-0 on March 9, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Avondale have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; South Melbourne have 2, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Kingston City(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Port Melbourne(home) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 15, 2019 | Dandenong City(away) | 4-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Port Melbourne(away) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 22, 2019 | Dandenong City(home) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 15, 2019 | Bentleigh Greens(away) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL |
How many goals should we expect?
Avondale score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 3; South Melbourne score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avondale | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| South Melbourne | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avondale sit 4th in Victoria NPL (44 points from 25 matches) and South Melbourne sit 5th (41 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avondale | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 63 | 34 | 44 |
| 5 | South Melbourne | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy