Avondale vs Adelaide City: prediction and stats
Australian ChampionshipGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Avondale Park, Carrigaline
The Footlab AI model makes Avondale the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Adelaide City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avondale wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avondale vs Adelaide City?
On Elo ratings, Avondale has 1,984 points and Adelaide City 1,986.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avondale vs Adelaide City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avondale
4-3-3- 24E. Wellsmore
- 7S. Zinni
- 9G. Ott
- 13Y. Towns
- 23K. Trajceski
- 25J. Courtney-Perkins
- 4A. Brice
- 14B. Carpenter
- 5M. Reid
- 68K. Kamara
- 21T. Manos
Adelaide City
Not enough data to predict the Adelaide City lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avondale have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Adelaide City have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adelaide City(away) | 2-2 | Australian Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hume City(away) | 3-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Preston Lions(home) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hume City(home) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Avondale(home) | 2-2 | Australian Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Torrens Birkalla(home) | 2-2 | South Australia NPL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Playford City Patriots(home) | 6-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Playford City Patriots(away) | 2-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Beograd(away) | 3-0 | South Australia NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Avondale wins, 1 draw, 0 Adelaide City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adelaide City 2-2 Avondale | Australian Championship |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide City vs Avondale on Oct 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avondale score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide City score 2.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avondale | 2.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Adelaide City | 2.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avondale sit 1st in Australian Championship (2 points from 1 match) and Adelaide City sit 3rd (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avondale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 3 | Adelaide City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Avondale vs Adelaide City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avondale vs Adelaide City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avondale the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Adelaide City.
- Where and when is Avondale vs Adelaide City played?
- Avondale vs Adelaide City is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Avondale Park, in the Australian Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.