Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Yirgalem Stadium, Yirgalem
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 36% for Sidama Bunna, 39% for a draw, 25% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,963 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Sidama Bunna (1,597) and Bahardar (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sidama Bunna
4-3-3- 2A. Musse
- 21T. Bejrond
- 20B. Nago
- 6Y. Yohannis
- 10F. Tewoldebrhan
- 8R. Nassir
- 14B. Bekele
- 31M. Muzie
- 15D. Demu
- 16Y. Bayeh
- 47Y. Abure
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sidama Bunna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aiglons(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aiglons(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sidama Bunna wins, 1 draw, 1 Bahardar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Bahardar 0-1 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Sidama Bunna 1-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Sidama Bunna 1-0 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Bahardar 2-0 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Sidama Bunna 2-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Bahardar 0-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Sidama Bunna on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sidama Bunna score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 17% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidama Bunna | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Bahardar | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sidama Bunna sit 17th in Premier League (0 points from 1 match) and Bahardar sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bahardar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 36% for Sidama Bunna, 39% for a draw, 25% for Bahardar.
- Where and when is Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar played?
- Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Yirgalem Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Adama KenemavsHadiya Hosaena
- Jan 16, 2027Awassa KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Jan 16, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsEthiopian Medhin
- Jan 16, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Jan 16, 2027Mebrat HaylvsMekelakeya
- Jan 16, 2027Sheger KetemavsWelayta Dicha
- Jan 16, 2027Negelle ArsivsHalaba Ketema
- Jan 16, 2027Gamo ChenchavsFasil Ketema