Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, Cernavodă
The Footlab model makes Axiopolis the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dunarea Calarasi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Axiopolis (1,373) and Dunarea Calarasi (1,448).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Axiopolis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dunarea Calarasi have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Axiopolis win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Dunarea Calarasi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-1 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Axiopolis 2-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Axiopolis 0-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-0 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Axiopolis 1-2 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Dunarea Calarasi 3-1 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Dunarea Calarasi vs Axiopolis on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Axiopolis score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axiopolis | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi?
- The Footlab model makes Axiopolis the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dunarea Calarasi.
- Where and when is Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi played?
- Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.