Gloria Băneasa vs Agigea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Central Băneasa, Băneasa
The Footlab model makes Gloria Băneasa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Agigea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloria Băneasa vs Agigea?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Gloria Băneasa (1,334) and Agigea (1,300).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloria Băneasa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Agigea have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gloria Băneasa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Agigea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa 0-1 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa 2-1 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Agigea 1-0 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Gloria Băneasa vs Agigea on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gloria Băneasa score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria Băneasa | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloria Băneasa vs Agigea?
- The Footlab model makes Gloria Băneasa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Gloria Băneasa vs Agigea played?
- Gloria Băneasa vs Agigea is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Central Băneasa, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.