Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea
The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for FC Oţelul II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II?
Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,456 vs 1,203).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; FC Oţelul II have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 8, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Victoria Traian(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Braila(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Oţelul II score 1.5 and concede 4.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Oţelul II | 1.5 | 4.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for FC Oţelul II.
- Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II played?
- Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.