Axiopolis vs Progresul Fundulea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, Cernavodă
The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Axiopolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Axiopolis vs Progresul Fundulea?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Axiopolis (1,374) and Progresul Fundulea (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Axiopolis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Progresul Fundulea have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Axiopolis win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Progresul Fundulea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea 3-1 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-1 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Axiopolis 0-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Progresul Fundulea 4-0 Axiopolis | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Axiopolis 0-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2024 | Axiopolis 3-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Axiopolis score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axiopolis | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Axiopolis vs Progresul Fundulea?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Axiopolis.
- Where and when is Axiopolis vs Progresul Fundulea played?
- Axiopolis vs Progresul Fundulea is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ideal Cernavodă, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.