Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Recolta Gheorghe Doja. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,504 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,467).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Fundulea
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Fundulea lineup.
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Not enough data to predict the Recolta Gheorghe Doja lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Recolta Gheorghe Doja have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progresul Fundulea wins, 0 draws, 3 Recolta Gheorghe Doja wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2-6 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-0 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 3-2 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Cupa României |
| May 17, 2025 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 4-2 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Progresul Fundulea on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Fundulea score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recolta Gheorghe Doja score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Fundulea sit 8th in Liga III - Serie 4 (9 points from 6 matches) and Recolta Gheorghe Doja sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 8 | Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Recolta Gheorghe Doja.
- Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja played?
- Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.