Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea
The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Recolta Gheorghe Doja. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Progresul Fundulea (1,456) and Recolta Gheorghe Doja (1,362).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Recolta Gheorghe Doja have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-6 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Progresul Fundulea win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Recolta Gheorghe Doja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2-6 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-0 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 3-2 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Cupa României |
| May 17, 2025 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 4-2 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-1 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Progresul Fundulea on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Recolta Gheorghe Doja score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Recolta Gheorghe Doja.
- Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja played?
- Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.