Ayia Napa vs Ethnikos Achna: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, Agia Napa
The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Ayia Napa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayia Napa vs Ethnikos Achna?
Ethnikos Achna starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,560).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayia Napa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ethnikos Achna have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 6-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ayia Napa win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Ethnikos Achna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2023 | Ethnikos Achna 5-1 Ayia Napa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Ayia Napa 1-2 Ethnikos Achna | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Ayia Napa 1-3 Ethnikos Achna | 2. Division |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Ethnikos Achna 2-1 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ethnikos Achna vs Ayia Napa on Aug 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ayia Napa score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Achna score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayia Napa | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Ethnikos Achna | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ayia Napa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayia Napa vs Ethnikos Achna?
- The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Ayia Napa.
- Where and when is Ayia Napa vs Ethnikos Achna played?
- Ayia Napa vs Ethnikos Achna is played on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.