Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Digenis Morphou: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo PAEEK Keryneia Epistrofi, Strovolos
The Footlab model makes Iraklis Yerolakkou the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Digenis Morphou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Digenis Morphou?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Iraklis Yerolakkou (1,562) and Digenis Morphou (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis Yerolakkou have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Digenis Morphou have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | APEA(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Digenis Morphou(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Iraklis Yerolakkou win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Digenis Morphou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Digenis Morphou 1-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 2. Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 2-1 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 1-1 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Digenis Morphou 1-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3. Division |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 1-6 Digenis Morphou | 3. Division |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Digenis Morphou 2-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Digenis Morphou vs Iraklis Yerolakkou on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis Yerolakkou score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Digenis Morphou score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Digenis Morphou | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraklis Yerolakkou sit 13th in 2. Division (37 points from 14 matches) and Digenis Morphou sit 12th (39 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Digenis Morphou | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
| 13 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Digenis Morphou?
- The Footlab model makes Iraklis Yerolakkou the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Digenis Morphou.
- Where and when is Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Digenis Morphou played?
- Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Digenis Morphou is played on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo PAEEK Keryneia Epistrofi, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.