Ermis vs Ayia Napa: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab AI model makes Ermis the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ayia Napa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ermis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis vs Ayia Napa?
Ermis starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,636 vs 1,536).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ermis vs Ayia Napa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ermis
4-3-1-2- DD. Paroutis
- 9A. Papathanasiou
- AA. Bruce
- AA. Karamoko
- SS. Kafataris
- 77I. Georghiou
- JJ. Boom
- TT. Liasides
- NN. Achahbar
- CC. Charalampous
- AA. Chrysostomou
Ayia Napa
Not enough data to predict the Ayia Napa lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ayia Napa have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polemidion(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Enosis(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ermis win, 1 draw, 4 Ayia Napa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | Ayia Napa 6-3 Ermis | 2. Division |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Ayia Napa 1-0 Ermis | 2. Division |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Ermis 2-0 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Ermis 0-3 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Ermis 0-2 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Ayia Napa 2-2 Ermis | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ayia Napa score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Ayia Napa | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ermis sit 5th in 2. Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Ayia Napa sit 15th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ermis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Ayia Napa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
A question about Ermis vs Ayia Napa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis vs Ayia Napa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ermis the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ayia Napa.
- Where and when is Ermis vs Ayia Napa played?
- Ermis vs Ayia Napa is played on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.