Ayr Utd vs Morton: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Morton?
Ayr Utd and Morton drew 1-1 on August 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 44′J. MurphyAyr Utd (pen.)
- 63′E. BrophyMorton
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ayr Utd win at 58%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Morton have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ayr Utd win, 3 draws, 2 Morton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Morton | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Morton 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Morton | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Morton 2-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Morton 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Ayr Utd 0-0 Morton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Morton | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 7th in Championship (12 points from 10 matches) and Morton sit 10th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Ayr Utd vs Morton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy