Rayong FC vs Sukhothai FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WHA Rayong Stadium, Rayong
The Footlab model makes Rayong FC the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Sukhothai FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayong FC vs Sukhothai FC?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Rayong FC (1,630) and Sukhothai FC (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayong FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sukhothai FC have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayong FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Sukhothai FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sukhothai FC 2-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Rayong FC 2-0 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Rayong FC 2-1 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sukhothai FC 3-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Sukhothai FC 2-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Rayong FC 1-2 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sukhothai FC vs Rayong FC on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sukhothai FC score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Sukhothai FC | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayong FC sit 9th in Thai League 1 (37 points from 30 matches) and Sukhothai FC sit 13th (28 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayong FC vs Sukhothai FC?
- The Footlab model makes Rayong FC the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Sukhothai FC.
- Where and when is Rayong FC vs Sukhothai FC played?
- Rayong FC vs Sukhothai FC is played on December 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WHA Rayong Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.